The ongoing confrontation between Russia and the United States has led to drastically reduced cooperation in all areas, including education and academia.
In theory, climate change and green energy are areas in which there is scope for joint international projects, new investment, and the transfer of green technology to Russia. Yet drastic differences in targets set and regulatory frameworks make such an optimistic scenario unlikely.
As the largest Arctic states, Canada and Russia have the most to lose if we allow differences to stymie cooperation.
This podcast episode focuses on Russia’s new National Security Strategy and the vision of the world presented in it.
The Biden-Putin summit has elicited hopes for a new status quo in relations between Russia and the West, marked by guardrails and the prevention of further destabilization. Yet this momentum will be short-lived if it is not backed up by coordination between the United States and Europe, and commitment from Moscow.
Cyber security has moved to the very center of contemporary security concerns worldwide. Reports of major cyberattacks, with the potential to paralyze the critical infrastructure of entire nations, are increasingly frequent. A nexus between cyber and nuclear capabilities puts the issue of global strategic stability in a completely new light.
The nature of the Afghan problem for Central Asia and Russia lies in Afghanistan becoming a source of instability for the region.
The central feature of the new strategy is its focus on Russia itself. The Russian leadership has every reason right now to turn homeward to address the glaring weaknesses, imbalances, and inequalities of the country’s internal situation.
For now, there is no public discussion of exploiting Antarctic mineral deposits, but in 2048, the Madrid protocol banning mining is due to be reviewed, and it’s unlikely the status quo will remain in place.
Fresh attempts to expose Russian “red line” deterrence as hollow—whether on the ground, in the air, or at sea—would push Moscow to defend what it cannot give up without losing its self-respect. This would almost inevitably lead to clashes and casualties, which would carry the risk of further escalation.